# What the chart is telling you, and what to do about it

Seven shapes you will actually see, what each one means, and the move it asks
for. Every picture below is a real board, seeded and then photographed, rather than
a drawing.

If you have not met the chart yet, read
[Read the Aging WIP chart](https://anykanban.com/docs/find-and-analyze/read-the-aging-chart/) first; this page assumes you know
what a point, a tail, a ring and the shaded fields between the lines are.

One rule runs through all of it: **passing a line is never a reason to
deprioritise**. An item that has already taken too long is the last thing worth
abandoning, because the customer is still waiting.

---

## 1. Nothing above the top line

![Every point below p50, in the green wherever its column is shaded](https://anykanban.com/docs/_img/aging-chart-healthy.png)

**What it means.** Everything in flight is inside what this board normally
takes. This is the ordinary state of a healthy board, and it is worth knowing
it on sight, because the temptation is to look for a problem until you find
one.

**What to do.** Nothing. Close the tab. Silence is a reading.

---

## 2. One point far above the line

![A single point well past p85, ringed, with a tail](https://anykanban.com/docs/_img/aging-chart.png)

**What it means.** One item has outlasted 85% of everything this board has
finished. The board can no longer tell you when it will land. Not "it is
late", but "there is no forecast left".

**What to do.** Name it out loud today. Three questions, in this order:

1. **Is something blocking it?** If it is, that blocker is the work, not the
   card.
2. **Can it be swarmed?** More people on the oldest item beats more items
   started.
3. **Can it be split?** Half of it finishing is a real outcome; all of it
   nearly finishing is not.

If the answer to all three is no, you have learned something worth saying at
the retrospective: this kind of work does not fit the way the board is set up.

---

## 3. A high point with a long tail, in an early column

![A point high on the axis in an early column, with a long tail beneath it](https://anykanban.com/docs/_img/aging-chart-stuck-early.png)

**What it means.** This is the earliest warning the chart can give. The item is
old **and** almost all of that age was spent standing still exactly where it is
now, because the tail is nearly as tall as the point. It has not been worked on; it
has been waiting, in a column near the start of the flow.

**What to do.** This one is almost never a "work harder" problem. Ask what the
column is waiting **for**: a person, an approval, an environment, a decision.
Then move that, not the card.

A card like this in the last column before Done means something different and
worse: the work is finished and the *handover* is not.

---

## 4. A crowd just under the top line, in one column

![Four points stacked between p70 and p85, all in the same column](https://anykanban.com/docs/_img/aging-chart-crowd.png)

**What it means.** Not one bad card but a shelf of them, in one column, all
approaching the line together. No single item explains this, and treating it
one card at a time will not fix it. The column is the constraint.

**What to do.** Stop starting. The fastest way to move a shelf like this is to
put people on what is already there rather than pulling anything new in, and
then to ask whether that column's work-in-progress limit is doing its job, or
whether it has no limit at all.

This is the shape that most often means *the system*, not *the people*.

---

## 5. Two cards equally old, one of them ringed

![Two points at the same height, one wearing a ring that says it blocks two items](https://anykanban.com/docs/_img/aging-chart-blocking.png)

**What it means.** They are equally urgent by age. They are not equally
expensive to leave alone: the ringed one is holding up other work, and the
number beside the ring says how many items.

**What to do.** Start with the ringed one. Everything waiting on it is aging
too, invisibly, and those items may not even be on this board.

The count is a **lower bound**: a successor outside this board cannot be seen
from here.

---

## 6. No lines at all

![The chart with axes and points but no percentile lines, and a sentence explaining why](https://anykanban.com/docs/_img/aging-chart-thin.png)

**What it means.** Usually, that this board has not finished enough work for a
percentile to be honest: fewer than ten items in the last 90 days, and fewer
than ten in the last 12 months either, which is the wider window the chart falls
back to before it gives up. The chart keeps its axes
and its points and refuses to draw a line it cannot stand behind, so there is
no shading either and the **Percentiles** switch is there but cannot be used.
The line above the chart says how much is missing, and the switch says the same
thing on hover.

Read that line first, because it names the reason. If it says instead that the
flow history could not be read at all, the missing lines say nothing about how
much your board has finished. Three causes, each named in that line: flow
metrics are not part of your Azure DevOps access level, which only an
administrator can change; Azure DevOps is rate limiting the account; or the
read simply failed. For the last two, use **Refresh** to try again.

Everything the chart can still stand behind is drawn: each point is a real age,
and a point standing for ONE card carries its **tail**, which is how much of
that age has been spent standing still in the column it is in now. That comparison needs
no history at all, which is why it is the one the chart keeps making here. A
point standing for several draws no tail: the cards behind it arrived in that
column on different days, so a single tail would claim a history belonging to
none of them. Open it and each one states its own.

**What to do.** Use the board, and come back. Ten or twelve closed items is
enough for a first answer; thirty makes it steady. If the sentence says nothing
has finished in the last **12 months**, that is not a chart waiting for data.
It is the finding: the ages on the plot are exact, and a board where nothing
completes in a year is worth a conversation of its own. In the meantime the **Board**
tab is not blank on this subject either: its aging mode marks the card that has
sat longest in each column, which needs no history and is a different, weaker
claim: *this one, of these* rather than *this is unusual*.

You will see the same emptiness on a board whose work item type nobody ever
closes, a Risk register, say. That is not a defect, it is the honest answer:
percentiles describe finished work, and there is none.

---

## 7. A column that is almost entirely red, with nothing in it

![In Progress shaded red almost to the floor, with its own point sitting in the green](https://anykanban.com/docs/_img/aging-chart-fast-stage.png)

**What it means.** Nothing. That stage is *fast*: work normally leaves it
within a day or two, so almost the whole height of the plot is older than
anything that has ever passed through. The color describes the stage, not your
cards.

This is the one shape on this page that reads as an alarm and is not one, and it
catches everybody once. The test is simple: **look at the points, not the
field.** If they are in the green, the column is doing what it always does.

**What it is worth for.** A column like this is the most sensitive detector on
the chart. Because its bands are so low, a card that lingers there crosses into
red within days rather than weeks, which is exactly where you want to catch it,
since returning work to the backlog early is cheap and doing it late is not.

**The move.** When a point *does* appear high in such a column, treat it as a
different kind of question from a late card further along: it usually means the
item was not ready to start. Missing information, an unresolved dependency, or
work that was pulled because somebody had capacity rather than because it was
next. Putting it back is a legitimate answer, and the only stage where it is
cheap.

## When the same shape keeps coming back

None of the moves above changes anything if the shape returns every week. Three
things do, and the flow-metrics literature is unanimous about them:

- **Less work in progress.** Age is time in the system; the more items in the
  system, the longer each one waits. This is the one lever with arithmetic
  behind it rather than encouragement.
- **Smaller items.** A smaller item cannot age as far before it finishes.
- **Fewer dependencies.** Every ring on this chart is an item that could not
  finish on its own.

A chart full of old cards is not a team working slowly. It is usually a team
that started too much, and each of those three fixes that.

## The habit this chart is for

None of the above needs a report, a meeting, or a data specialist. It needs two
minutes a day. Julia Wester's [*Want to be more Predictable? Do These Two Things
Every Day*](https://www.scrum.org/resources/blog/want-be-more-predictable-do-these-two-things-every-day)
puts the whole practice in two habits: **finish before you start**, and **watch
the age of what is already in flight**. This chart is the second one made
visible.

The reason it is worth the two minutes is that it is a **leading** indicator.
Every other flow measurement tells you what already happened; the points on this
chart are items you can still do something about. By the time an old card shows
up in a cycle-time report, the conversation that would have helped is months
past.

So: open it at the daily meeting, look at what is high or in a warm band, and
ask about those before asking what anybody started yesterday.

## Related

- [Read the Aging WIP chart](https://anykanban.com/docs/find-and-analyze/read-the-aging-chart/)
- [Read the board by age at the daily meeting](https://anykanban.com/docs/find-and-analyze/read-the-board-by-age/)
- [Why percentiles instead of averages](https://anykanban.com/docs/concepts/why-percentiles-not-averages/)
- [See which work is waiting on other work](https://anykanban.com/docs/find-and-analyze/see-what-waits-on-what/)
